This is a blog dedicated to maths, statistics and elections. Right now the focus is on the 2013 Australian Federal Election.I’m interested in politics, but far more interested in the numbers surrounding them. I’m developing a way of looking at the current (and historical) election and polling data, using this to predict how individual areas and electorates will vote. Using Bayesian techniques I hope to predict the outcome of the election very early on election night (September 7th, 2013), with estimations of each of the 150 lower house seats, and all senate seats. Hopefully I’ll be able to print out some pretty pictures of the state of affairs on the night.
If you want to get in contact with me, catch me on Twitter.Regards,